Capacity expansion under a service‐level constraint for uncertain demand with lead times

For a service provider facing stochastic demand growth, expansion lead times and economies of scale complicate the expansion timing and sizing decisions. We formulate a model to minimize the infinite horizon expected discounted expansion cost under a service‐level constraint. The service level is defined as the proportion of demand over an expansion cycle that is satisfied by available capacity. For demand that follows a geometric Brownian motion process, we impose a stationary policy under which expansions are triggered by a fixed ratio of demand to the capacity position, i.e., the capacity that will be available when any current expansion project is completed, and each expansion increases capacity by the same proportion. The risk of capacity shortage during a cycle is estimated analytically using the value of an up‐and‐out partial barrier call option. A cutting plane procedure identifies the optimal values of the two expansion policy parameters simultaneously. Numerical instances illustrate that if demand grows slowly with low volatility and the expansion lead times are short, then it is optimal to delay the start of expansion beyond when demand exceeds the capacity position. Delays in initiating expansions are coupled with larger expansion sizes. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

Dynamic parameters of multi-cabin protective structure subjected to low-impact load – Numerical and experimental investigations

The dynamic response of a multi-cabin protective structure subjected to impact load directly affects the protective performance of materials; thus, studying the dynamic response and communication law of wave effect of the load plays an important role in the prediction of protective performance. In this study, the protection experiments of box-structure under air- and/or water-medium are conducted, the dynamic response of the structure subjected to low-impact load is analyzed, and the corresponding numerical simulations are analyzed using the theory of finite element method (FEM). Combined with experimental and FEM simulations, the shock strain distribution, acceleration attenuation, and signal energy in defensive materials are determined. Based on the results, the metal structure exhibits good absorption characteristics for shock vibration. Using the experimental data, we also show that the attenuation of shock wave in water medium should be significantly better than that in air medium, and the protective structure should be designed for a combination of water and air mediums. Meanwhile, the numerical simulation can provide a quantitative analysis process for dynamic analysis of defensive materials.     

舰船电力系统运行负荷估算方法研究

针对舰船电力系统的运行负荷估算常见算法的不足,提出了改进算法.改进算法用随机模型和回归模型描述舰船电力负荷,用回归模型描述的负荷采用回归算法,用随机模型描述的负荷采用逐步聚类法进行计算,并对获得随机负荷的计算参数提出了具体方法.通过对某船的计算和实测,进行了各算法的比较,验证了改进算法的可信性.     

集团军跨域应急作战装备保障能力建设研究

加强应急作战装备保障能力建设,是提高战斗力的重要组成部分。本文针对新体制、新形势下的军队战争形态、使命任务和训练要求,分析了集团军跨域应急作战装备保障的主要特点和当前装备保障存在的不足,并在此基础上,从构建理论体系和装备保障平台、人才队伍建设,装备保障模式以及装备保障实战化训练五个方面给出了集团军跨域应急作战装备保障能力建设和应对措施。     

基于方位量测的舰艇对潜定位技术研究

结合舰艇拖曳线列阵声纳实际搜潜装备,利用舰载线列阵声纳测得的潜艇目标方位信息,建立了基于方位量测的舰艇对潜艇目标定位的数学模型,给出求解潜艇运动参数的定位算法,并对定位误差进行了分析,在定位模型及算法的基础上,仿真研究了潜艇与舰艇之间的初始距离、舰艇测得潜艇目标初始方位角、潜艇航向等因素对定位性能的影响,给出仿真结果并进行了分析,该结果对于指导实际反潜具有一定的实用价值。     

人员交通类场所人员荷载研究

对人员交通类场所的特点进行了分析，将人员交通类场所归纳为简单通道、复杂通道、候机（车）厅、进出港厅等组件。针对简单通道和进出港厅，采用“人员流量法”和“人员密度法”两种方法计算人员荷载；针对复杂通道，采用空间上分解为流线、时间上分解为阶段的方法计算人员荷载；针对候机（车）厅，按照设计容量确定人员荷载。并给出了一个包括国家铁路、地铁的综合交通枢纽换乘层人员荷载计算的典型案例。     

激光制备高附着性能的铜基类金刚石膜

提升类金刚石(Diamond-Like Carbon, DLC)膜在被保护基底上的附着能力具有明显的实际应用价值。从微观机理上分析了前期设计的Cu基多层DLC膜有效性的原因。在此基础上,研究了DLC/SiC循环层中两者厚度比例对膜层的附着性能、纳米硬度和耐磨性的影响,以优化结构、进一步提升实际应用所需的膜层性能。纳米划痕和压痕测试结果表明:随着DLC层与SiC层厚度比例的增大,多层DLC膜在Cu基上附着性能逐渐降低,但当厚度比小于2.3时,仍接近厚度400 nm的单层DLC膜在Si基上的附着性能；Cu基多层DLC膜的纳米硬度逐渐提高,同时,耐磨性接近纯DLC膜。     

Responses of HFR-LWC beams under close-range blast loadings accompanying membrane action

The load-carrying capacities and failure patterns of reinforced concrete components can be significantly changed by membrane effects. However, limited work has been carried out to investigate the blast resistance of Hybrid Fiber Reinforced Lightweight Aggregate Concrete (HFR-LWC) members accompanying membrane action. This paper presents a theoretical approach to quantitatively depicting the membrane behavior and its contribution on the behavior of HFR-LWC beams under close-range blast loadings, and the suitability of the proposed model is validated by a series of field tests. An improved Single-Degree-of-Freedom (SDOF) model was employed to describe the dynamic responses of beam-like members under blast loadings accompanying membrane action, where the mass-load coefficient is determined according to the nonuniformly distributed load induced by close-range explosion, and the membrane action is characterized by an in-plane (longitudinal) force and a resisting moment. The elasto-plastic and recovery responses of HFR-LWC beams under the combined action of blast load and membrane force were analyzed by the promoted model. A specially built end-constrain clamp was developed to provide membrane action for the beam member when they are subjected to blast load simultaneously. It is demonstrated that the analytical displacement-time histories are in good agreement with experimental results before peak deflections and that the improved SDOF model is an acceptable tool for predicting the behavior of HFR-LWC beams under blast loadings accompanying membrane action.     

More military base closure? Considering the alternatives*

Despite multiple base closing rounds, the United States Department of Defense still has excess base capacity, and thus President Trump and high-level Defense Department officials are calling for more base closure through the Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) process. However, another BRAC may not be the optimal solution, because simple base closure is not an efficient way to reduce surplus base capacity. Thus, Defense Department officials should consider other methods to reduce surplus capacity, including reduction in base size, leasing excess base property, or transferring it to another government agency for a variety of alternative uses. The surplus capacity issue also offers an opportunity to DOD to reassess base utilization, to update base requirements with current and future force structure. While BRAC focuses on American military bases, the process and alternatives also have international applications.